I received an interesting email from the Ken Paxton campaign this morning. It’s the first one that I have received that has him attacking Eva Guzman in his quest to remain the Texas Attorney General. Why?
It’s easy at first glance to think that she is gaining on him in the polls. I doubt that. Sure, she may have gained a few points in polling with her television advertising blitz but she isn’t playing to be the front runner, she’s trying to get into a runoff. So why would Paxton start attacking her?
First, here is a body of Paxton’s email:
Theme of the Day: Eva Guzman Is Too Woke for Texas
Eva Guzman was “woke” before many progressives even caught on to the popular trend.
~ In 2016, Eva Guzman led the planning efforts for a taxpayer-funded “woke” gathering called Beyond the Bench: Law, Justice, and Communities Summit, an event particularly focused on “racial” and “implicit” bias in the criminal justice system and promoting the principles best known now as “Critical Race Theory.”
~ The conference attendees and hosts developed a list of controversial “Big Ideas” to “spur action,” ideas that come from the woke ideology that is now pervasive, such as mandating training on the cognitive and implicit bias from “all stakeholders in the criminal justice system.”
~ While parents worry that their children will be subjected to divisive “Critical Race Theory” programs that seek to divide us further on racial lines, Eva Guzman’s conference suggested as one of their top five “Big Ideas” developing an app geared towards children to recognize bias at “a really young age.”
~ Another highly ranked suggestion outlined by the conference Guzman hosted was to require every institution “to have a racial and bias audit that is public for accountability.”
Here’s the bottom line: Texans can’t trust Eva Guzman to defend our conservative values because Eva Guzman simply doesn’t share our values at all. Her “woke” agenda has no place in Texas.
Here’s where Team Paxton needs your help. We need you to share Eva Guzman’s woke record with your friends and followers on social media. Share the suggested post above on your social media accounts and make sure this critical update makes it across the Lone Star State. We need to make sure conservatives across Texas know the truth about Eva Guzman before the upcoming primary on Tuesday.Pol. Adv. Paid for by the Ken Paxton Campaign
His campaign also produced a Facebook video on Guzman’s wokeness.
Okay, so Guzman is woke. Or maybe she’s just a Latina that was trying to prove that she was not the typical Republican. Who knows?
The more interesting thing to me is how campaigns work in the final days of an election cycle. The email above is based on an “article” on Townhall.com titled Republican Primary Challenger to Texas AG Helped Organize Summit Promoting CRT Ideas on ‘Implicit Bias’ by Rebecca Downs which clearly comes from oppo research handed to Ms. Downs by the Paxton campaign. Once again a campaign is using Townhall.com to push their talking points. Why does Townhall continue to do that? Content, what else?
And back to the question, why? In talking to several ‘insiders’ (not from the Paxton campaign) the latest polling is showing that Paxton isn’t going to make the 50% plus 1 vote to avoid a runoff.
The polling also shows that Guzman is sneaking up on George P. Bush for second place and that Gohmert remains at the back of the pack.
If those polls are accurate, it’s pretty clear that Paxton would rather face Pee Bush in the runoff. Pee is so far removed from the grassroots level of Texas politics that if he does squeak into a runoff with Paxton, he’ll get blown back to Florida where he belongs.
On the other hand, Guzman might well have a shot at Paxton in a runoff. Paxton’s ethical problems are clearly on the minds of Texas Republicans if he does get dragged into a runoff. Traditionally, the most conservative person in a statewide Republican primary usually wins (see Cruz, Patrick). But between those ethical problems and Guzman’s ability to get funding from the more liberal/moderate contributors in the Republican Party, she might be able to put a scare into him or in a longshot actually win the runoff in an upset.
I wouldn’t bank on her winning but it is plausible. It’s also plausible that by attacking Guzman now he can pull a few votes away from her and avoid a runoff altogether. I don’t see that one happing but again, who knows?