Deja vu all over again. The big three have apparently found their man to challenge Chair Paul Simpson in order to get their “power” back. What that power exactly is I have yet to figure out. Mostly I think it is simply two different idealogical groups that think their way is the best way and that is that.
For the uninitiated in Harris County Republican circles, the big three would be Dr. Steve Hotze, Terry Lowry and Gary Polland. For more than a decade they were able to control the party and its candidates through the use of political mailers. Whether that was a good thing or a bad thing is in the eye of the beholder. I thought it was a bad thing and spent a lot of time trying to lessen their influence. I won’t say that I was entirely successful but they are less influential today and there are many other players in the political mailer wars.
Being less influential also means that they have to up their game and get better at what they do if they want to regain their dominance of the local Republican landscape. I haven’t seen evidence that they have been successful at getting better but it isn’t for a lack of trying. Which brings us to Polland’s latest attack on Simpson.
Harris County Republican Chairman Paul Simpson Has A Couple More Bad Days
While the GOP nationally as a brand continues to deteriorate, according to a new CNN poll released on September 25, 2017, only 29{997ab4c1e65fa660c64e6dfea23d436a73c89d6254ad3ae72f887cf583448986} [of those polled] hold a favorable view of the Republican Party, down 13{997ab4c1e65fa660c64e6dfea23d436a73c89d6254ad3ae72f887cf583448986} since March 2017. The lowest mark since the question has been asked beginning in 1992. As a contrast, the Democrats approval rate is at 32{997ab4c1e65fa660c64e6dfea23d436a73c89d6254ad3ae72f887cf583448986}, not much better.
So in this nationally toxic environment you would think that the party leadership would be doing things to help move the party ahead. So projects like a Judicial Petition Signing Party is one barometer of party effectiveness.
A few weeks ago the Harris County GOP held a Judicial Signing Party and according to some of our incumbent judges, it did not go well. First, it was in the wrong location. Second, attendance was disappointing with many judges getting only the participants and their staff’s signatures. Keep in mind Simpson was forced to do the signing as a one-time event by the Judges as he originally proposed to do signing parties at regional offices.
Not waiting to get full information on the $1 billion budget busting City of Houston bond issue, Simpson pushed a resolution in support of the bonds, which the party’s precinct chairmen voted down. Congratulations to Jim Hotze and others who correctly pointed out that the largest bond issue in the City of Houston’s history does nothing for flood control and repairs and that the city has no plan of how to pay off the bonds.
These are just the latest examples of failed leadership following the disaster of the 2016 election in which Simpson led the GOP to a historic sweep by the Democrats. In a presentation, this week at the Downtown Pachyderm’s Club, Simpson is still selling his discredited plan for success he’s been touting since before the 2016 debacle with no apparent change.
Does anyone believe the results will be different in 2018 using the same, tired plan? Could it be that Paul Simpson’s goal is the final demolition of our countywide GOP? It’s either that or gross incompetence. Regardless, our countywide officials and candidates deserve better and that’s why a change at the top of the Harris County Republican Party is desperately needed as soon as possible.
There is a lot going on in that piece. But we can make it simpler by breaking it into three complaints that Polland has.
- Judicial signing party did not go well
- Precinct chairs defeated Simpson’s attempt to gather support for the Pension Obligation Bonds
- Last November’s results were horrible and Simpson refuses to do anything different
Let’s briefly look at each of these complaints. I say briefly because we can expand each of them if someone really thinks it is worthwhile.
Judicial Signing Party
After reading Gary’s post when it came out Friday evening, I decided to ask around about the signing party since I wasn’t in attendance. The people I talked to include incumbents, challengers and consultants. I also talked to the HCRP Executive Director, Benjamin McPhaul.
In total, the impression that I have is that while it might not have been the biggest and best ever signing party, it wasn’t exactly horrible either. Counting the candidates, a total of 504 people checked in and received preprinted labels with their voter information on them. So if you remove all 79 candidates from that number, every participant had the opportunity to get 425 signatures. Since the requirement to get on the ballot is 250, most of the incumbents were able to reach that number. The number of signatures necessary to waive the filing fee is 500, so they would have fallen a bit short if that was a candidate’s expectation.
There were a few complaints but no one seemed really upset. Some thought the food was lacking, others said the snacks were great. Some thought the location was too far from past events held at the Galleria, others liked the free parking and easy access. Most thought it was well run and went smoothly, one consultant thought that they should have separated opponents into sections instead of having them fight over the same voters. One incumbent thought that the cost was too high and that it was represented as a break even event. I confirmed with McPhaul that the event netted about $45,000 for the party.
So based upon my conversations, I don’t think that “did not go well” is the correct description.
Precinct Chairs defeated Simpson
I think that the big three might be reading this wrong. Yes, Simpson lost that vote but from people that I have talked to that were there, it was at the end of the meeting, many people had left and it wasn’t a lopsided vote. I watched the video and the Nays were louder than the Yeas but agree that it wasn’t close to a resounding defeat. Besides, people like me that would have supported it weren’t there. Hey, I had a council meeting! And if Simpson was defeated, so were the Lt. Governor and Sen. Huffman.
One thing that Gary said that I think is factually incorrect is that Simpson didn’t wait to get the full information before bringing it up. The plain truth is that the full information has been available since the bill was passed near the end of May. Anyone can go to the Texas Legislature website and read it or read the analysis. Nothing has changed since the Governor signed it and it became effective on July 1st. I have said that the information is confusing but that isn’t the same as saying the full information isn’t available.
That said, Simpson did in fact lose a vote and in politics, that is perceived as weakness and when politicians see a weakness, they attack.
November disaster and refusal to change
November’s results were a disaster. No one has written about that disaster more than we have. If you don’t believe me, click here and scroll through the dozen or so articles with data. Since I wasn’t at the Downtown Pachyderm last week, I can’t comment on Paul’s presentation.
But I can comment on the changes that I’ve seen him make since that election. Shortly after the election, I met with Paul for a couple of hours one on one and also met with his team in a presentation to area bloggers. After those meetings, I shared Gary’s frustration with Paul seeming to defend every action they took and told him and his team that. I thought that they were too defensive and should have listened to what we were saying.
After observing the party’s work since the November election and our meetings, it is clear that they were listening. In the years that I have been observing the party, there has never been a higher level of engagement with precinct chairs. They have training programs, they have calls, they have field reps and they have those field offices that Gary doesn’t seem to like. In fact, as a direct response to our meetings, Paul opened one in Baytown, an area that has traditionally been overlooked and given lip service.
In addition, Paul’s engagement with Gov. Abbott’s team and the state party is at an all time high. They have made huge strides in making critical data easily accessible to precinct chairs. They are coordinating on strategy to maximize voter turnout next year. The micro targeting that they are able to do has never been done in this county by either party.
So yes, absolutely, November was a disaster. And I can’t sit here and say that the changes Paul has made will result in a different outcome. But neither can Gary say that Paul has refused to change because it simply isn’t true. Heck, I think I even saw Paul on the TV once. 😉
Timing of Polland’s attack
Ah, the big question. And one that I think I can answer. I received a call that afternoon saying that the big three had a meeting earlier that day and that they had a candidate that agreed to run against Paul. I’ll wait until that guy decides to announce it but he’s a solid candidate. I don’t think he can win but am open to hearing what he has to say, if it is positive. Contrast (political speak for negative) ads are a necessary part of any campaign but they can’t be the totality of it. What will he do different if he is elected?
So Harris County Republicans are going to have another all out war to see which side gets to lead the party. It will be a massive waste of time and resources, resources that could be used in November 2018 to return good Republicans to county and judicial positions. I wish that both sides had taken my advice and sat down with each other to discuss working together instead of continuing splintering the party. Of course, then I wouldn’t have as much to write about, so there’s that.
Greg Degeyter says
The third point would be helpful to break down more. What data is being made available, and how is it being utilized? Is the County Party willing to share the data to others who would be interested in analyzing it to mine for potential voters?
Also, what is being done targeting wise? A few months back an Asian engagement session was in the county. Has the county party followed up with the state party on feedback from the session?
Whether or not it’s enough to reverse the trends both of the aforementioned areas will help to strengthen the party and maximizing returns on these areas is a good way to pull more voters into the tent.
Don Hooper says
The battle, which is always the Harris County Republican Party battle, will be over core values. Social conservatives vs pro choice republicans, special interest and big institutional republicans vs fiscal conservatives. And, now the never Trumpers vs the pro Trump forces, I will pop the corn and listen. It is a healthy discussion to be had and the big government establishment republicans will be dancing.
DanMan says
My biggest issue with the gop in general is they are all voting like democrats. Or in the case of Joe Straus not allowing votes to protect his members from taking a stand against the unrelenting march to the left.
Eric Dick says
Whether or not Paul Simpson wins his re-election for party chair, I truly think he cares about the Republican party and has given an honest effort to maintain and grow our party through the means he knows how. True, he has made some big mistakes. It is also true that he has made some giant strives.
Voter says
Focus on clean government and R’s will win.
Foolme says
While yaw’ll are having a slugfest the Democrats are planning a repeat of Nov 2016. There’s a dozen judicial candidates who will make the repeat of the Anderson syndrome a sad reality.
The GOP problem is that they are not cleaning house.
Royko says
One thing that I have observed is the failure to focus on converting the Black community back to the Republican Party.
I try to get on KCOH, with Ben Hall, trying to give a conservative perspective. But there needs to be a full-court press to flip 10{997ab4c1e65fa660c64e6dfea23d436a73c89d6254ad3ae72f887cf583448986} or more of the Black vote in Houston. That would wipe the smug smiles off the Progressive Ruling Class consultants’ faces.
Peter D. says
Traditionally, about 10{997ab4c1e65fa660c64e6dfea23d436a73c89d6254ad3ae72f887cf583448986} of the black community is Republican in Harris County. Are you suggesting committing party resources to convert another 10{997ab4c1e65fa660c64e6dfea23d436a73c89d6254ad3ae72f887cf583448986} on one hand while explicitly denouncing most programs the group likes? I’d rather limited resources be spent on either getting existing GOP voters more consistently to the polls or focusing on winning over undecided voters that lean our way, trying to get more bang for the buck.
And surely there must be better candidates to field over democrat Ben Hall to run for office.
April says
Hooper is right. It will come down to core values, which the H.C. lost when those in front (Polland, Lowry, Bettencourt, Emmett, who are either Rhinos or money/power-hungry, and a few others that wanted to jump on the bandwagon against a life-long Republican so they could win office [Jennings, Swanson, Olson]) didn’t stand behind the one who epitomized those core values, and actually walked the walk. That’s when a lot of us decided to help the H.C. Republican party finish destroying itself.
David Jennings says
Don’t bogart that joint my friend,
Pass it over to me!
Don’t bogart that joint my friend,
Pass it over to me!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j4XhDpSgHrs
Publius says
I’m curious to see how anyone in the pocket of the Big Three will be able to make effective arguments for their candidacy against Paul Simpson who has been a flawed but effective leader while remaining beholden to the corrupt trio. Harris County GOP voters / members have rejected Hotze, Polland and Lowry over the years and the Big Three no longer occupy the positions of prominence and power they had before. Their last puppet – Rick Ramos was a complete disaster and an embarrassment to his supporters. No one today wants to admit they supported him, Their favorite and most loyal shill, Jared Woodfill capsized worse than the Titanic at the last state convention – even his own senate district rejected him. There comes a time when an argument is over and it’s time to move on. Pastor Hotze, DJ Lowry and Shyster Polland need to ride off into the sunset, because Harris County GOP voters will reject them once more.
Mick Abrahams says
You all need to mind your own business and allow Hotze, Polland, Blakemore et al. to run their party as they see fit.