Actions have consequences, Ms. Ogg. From the InBox:
WEBSITE: https://www.marynanhuffman.com/PR-20-10-20
BITLY: https://bit.ly/3kbId6VFOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:
Tuesday, October 20, 2020Actions Have Consequences: Ogg Directly Responsible for HPD Officer’s Death
He pulled the trigger but she put the gun in his handsHOUSTON TX – Houston Police Department Sergeant Harold Preston was killed in the line of duty today. As tragic as that is, his death was 100% preventable. His partner also was shot and will survive his injuries.
The suspect, Elmer Manzano, a convicted felon with multiple prior assaults on his record, was in custody just a day before this tragedy occurred.
On October 18, HPD Officers responded to a call from Mrs. Santos, stating that her ex-husband, Mr. Manzano, was at the location brandishing a gun threatening Mrs. Santos and her children.
HPD Officers took Mr. Manzano into custody that day but Kim Ogg declined to take charges, instructing the Officers to release him, leaving the gun at the scene. Had charges been accepted, Mr. Manzano might be back on the street, but his gun and ammunition would have been seized and held as evidence.
No gun would have meant no dead officer.
Today, Officers responded to another call from Mrs. Santos. Mr. Manzano answered the door firing gun shots at point blank range. The two Officers were hit.
100% preventable.
The actions of Harris County District Attorney Kim Ogg are inexcusable. While Mr. Manzano pulled the trigger, Kim Ogg put the gun in his hands. Her actions are directly responsible for the death of HPD Sergeant Preston.
The good people of Harris County mourn the tragic and senseless loss of HPD Sergeant Preston. They have an opportunity to ensure this does not happen again.
DA Ogg’s fate is in their hands. She is on the ballot today.
Vote to keep your streets, your neighborhoods, your homes, and family safe. Vote to keep the men and women of law enforcement from preventable perils. Vote to hold Kim Ogg responsible for HPD Sergeant Preston’s death.
More information about Mary Nan Huffman is available at www.MaryNanHuffman.com.
###
I like Kim Ogg. I voted for Kim Ogg. But her actions, combined with those of the Democratic judges in Harris County, have led directly to increased crime and this travesty.
Vote for your life. Vote Republican.
PeterD says
It’s been reported that when the police were called to the original domestic disturbance on the 18th, Manzano was in his residence. The law allows a felon to possess a firearm in their own residence according to those accounts and the officer wrote in his report that he did not believe a crime took place. I’m told by a neighbor who works with HCSO that the evading charge the guy had was also just a state jail felony and not applicable to usual felony restrictions even if there’s a question regarding the domestic abuse charge. In short, while federal authorities should have kicked him out of the country years ago, and no matter how terrible DA Ogg has proven to be, this press release is a red herring.
Howie Katz says
Much as I hate to say it Peter D, you are right. Huffman is dead wrong … and she damn well knows it too.
Bill Daniels says
Dude is illegal. He should have been turned over to ICE without passing go, without collecting $ 200. The fault for not keeping the guy on an ICE detainer falls squarely on…..Kim Ogg. The press release is valid, although Nan doesn’t explain things very well. Any illegal arrested by law enforcement should NEVER be released, unless it’s via a plane or bus ride back to their own country.
But hey, sanctuary cities are just soooo compasionate. Where’s the compassion for the family of the dead officer? Why doesn’t HIS black life matter?
J. Holmes says
The Press release above doesnt say the appropriate the DA should have accepted were a felon unlawfully with firearm. You drew your own conclusions there…
“responded to a call from Mrs. Santos, stating that her ex-husband, Mr. Manzano, was at the location brandishing a gun threatening Mrs. Santos and her children.”
Non-felons legally in possession of firearms aren’t allowed to do that. I hope you sleep well after carrying all that water for Ogg
PeterD says
J, the accounts to date, including the officer writing the report for the disturbance call on the 18th, claim the thug did not have a weapon in his immediate possession nor did he brandish it. It was stated that he had one locked in his safe but not shown to the officer, no details about the officer asking to see it were provided.
Whether the officer had the ADA or his support staff contact federal authorities to determine if the man was indeed wanted has not been offered in written accounts either. My deputy neighbor cautioned me against being yet another liberal Monday morning quarterback who draws conclusions from speculation. He is a very outspoken critic of Ogg and my own dislike for her is well documented in previous comments here so there’s no need to attack me.
This press release only serves to show Ms. Huffman is not as good a choice as I thought she was. I’ll still probably hold my nose when I go vote but it is full of errors calculated to misinform low information voters, as though Ms. Ogg personally handled the original case, that the officer had a legal right to confiscate a gun he had not even seen, or that the DA had truly placed the gun in the criminal’s hand to kill the officer. If a candidate is so desperate to win that she’ll sell a pack of lies, it cheapens her candidacy and potential legacy.
bruce alan west says
What Peter Said. It’s sad that they are using this police officiers death for political gain and even lying or manipulating the facts to do so
It’s been reported that when the police were called to the original domestic disturbance on the 18th, Manzano was in his residence. The law allows a felon to possess a firearm in their own residence according to those accounts and the officer wrote in his report that he did not believe a crime took place. I’m told by a neighbor who works with HCSO that the evading charge the guy had was also just a state jail felony and not applicable to usual felony restrictions even if there’s a question regarding the domestic abuse charge. In short, while federal authorities should have kicked him out of the country years ago, and no matter how terrible DA Ogg has proven to be, this press release is a red herring.
DanMan says
I don’t like Kim Ogg and had the presence of mind not to vote for her in my last election in Harris County. I didn’t vote for Devin Anderson either. Didn’t vote for Hidalgo or Emmett. I don’t like voting for liberals.
I heard there are 11 unopposed democrat judges in Harris County. Have the repubs in HC given up?
Dennis says
The current administration is responsible for over 200k deaths. Stop with the GOP is tougher, no they are not
Fat Albert says
Dennis, I’m not really sure where you get your number from. I’m guessing that you’re speaking of the Federal Government. Please tell me that you’re not one of the raving imbeciles who think that Donald Trump is solely responsible for a world wide pandemic.
Bill Daniels says
Dennis,
Roughly, maybe round to the nearest 10,000….how many Americans would be dead if we were living under a President Hillary administration, and what would Hillary have done differently to cause the difference in numbers? Also, please tell us how many people would be out of work right now if we were under President Hillary.
Finally, the Democrat governors putting Wu flu patients in nursing homes with the elderly and infirm…..is this Trump’s fault? Would President Hillary have sent in the troops to physically prevent Cuomo, Whitmer and the other Dem. governors from sending in infected people to kill off the old people?
DanMan says
c’mon man! That’s malarkey! tha, tha, that’s not the thing!
Tom in Lazybrook says
Dan,
Why run if youre gonna get crushed? After yhe GOP primaried any candidate that could win in the last few cycles, your slate is filled with weak, inept, unfunded, ideologically mismatched candidates like Nile Copeland. And with Hotze controlling the HCRP, its gonna get brutally ugly going forward.
Heres the ‘pitch’ the HCRP has for its judicial (and other) candidates…”Run, put your life on hold, expose yourself to public scrutiny, get crushed by embarrasing margins, struggle to raise any money, not receive any help from a broke county and state party, possibly p*ss off the judges who will win, watch your collegues all endorse your opponent, harm your employment prospects at big firms, and be forced so far out to the right by a delusional primary electorate as to ruin your local political aspirations for a decade. The upside? Maybe a Democrat will resign mid term and IF the Governor of Texas is still a Republican, you *might* get appointed to fill out a term (and then get crushed in the very next election if Hotzes crowd doesnt take you out for following the law or any deviation from his extreme ideological dictates). But he will probably skip you over for a lawyer from a firm that has what you probably dont…money for his reelection campaign. And you might gain some name recognition for your retail legal practice.” Who would want to do that?
Who the f wants to deal with the GOP primary election process right now? Its a complete blank show. Candidates dont get support, only abuse. Youre not recruiting future Ed Emmetts or Sarah Davis’ until the process and the leadersip changes. Wesley Hunt is gonna lose too, not because he cant ever win, but he cant win running on a slate filled with knuckle dragging homophobes that dog whistle racist claptrap and try to attack science and healthcare. Youll have trouble finding others willing to go that route because theyre not going to be able to raise the money they threw at him after he loses by a significant margin. If Sima knocks of Crenshaw (not an impossible outcome) outside GOP donors will completely ignore Harris for a decade. At best youll get Kathaleen Wall and Tony Buzbees that will self fund for their own personal gratification. Judicial candidates rely on the top of the ticket…its looking dire going forward too.
The Dems will win Harris by a margin of 65-35. Huffman may run 3 or 4 percent ahead of that. And with 500,000 new voters, theres a likely higher hill to climb in future elections as well.
J Holmes says
Or……..the > 40% of total voters in Harris County with ZERO primary voting history will vote differently than you predict Tom. We will know more in 13 days. Until then. People in Harris County HATE KIM OGG. They really really hate her. No other elected official in Harris County enjoys such widespread scorn. This distaste will show up in the votes cast (and not cast). My prediction is Huffman wins DA race by 3.5 points.
Let’s do a survey of predicted DA race outcomes:
Tom in Lazybrook : Mary Nan Huffman 39% vs Kim Ogg 61%
J Holmes: Mary Nan Huffman 53.5% vs Kim Ogg 46.5%
Anybody else want to play? The only things at stake are liberty, justice, public safety and the integrity of elected government.
Tom in Lazybrook says
I stand by my prediction. The problem for the Republicans in Harris (and the Democrats in M’gomery) is that there isnt much deviation from the top of the ticket. The removal of party line voting will likely be a wash in Harris (undervoting downballot happens in both parties). Even if it falls more on the Democratic side, there’s gonna be a truly massive Biden over Trump margin to overcome. Harris voters that do crossover occasionally tend to be wealthier, socially liberal, white female moderate Democrats in Dist C/HD 134/West Houston. I live and ply my political activity in that space. That population does not have enough numbers to overcome a likely 400,000 to 500,000 Biden margin in Harris. Huffman needs to convince 175,000+ Biden voters to cross over to win at a minimum. I see no evidence that is gonna happen. Maybe 20,000 votes. A Trump/Hunt/Crenshaw voter is irrelevant for purposes of determining Huffmans viability, because its already assumed she’ll get all of those votes.
New voters are coming from demographics that are very unfriendly to Republicans. And new voters are hard to reach too. Even with the HCRP basically putting all their eggs countywide into Huffmans race, she’s not getting her message out effectively. I dont even know what her message is. Furthermore, new voters tend to be (yes exceptions exist) less engaged.
And the HCDP has its act together too and theyre beating the mantra of “Vote the entire ballot”.
There is a (small) chance that Oggs detractors on the far left (these exist, from the BLM crowd, who are unhappy with her) might depress her vote on the left, but thats only a half vote for Huffman because at best theyll undervote. I think that Oggs dropoff will be maybe 2% higher than for a generic Dem Judicial candidate. The HCDP and Ogg have run a very strong campaign to hold those voters.
And Kim Ogg has something else going for her that makes her really formidable. She is openly Gay. If a suburban moderate break for a Republican in Harris happens, it usually starts with pro-LGBT straight wealthier voters. Her sexual orientation actually helps hold those moderates in line. It isnt an asset in all matchups, but against a white conservative it does. Huffman did nothing to help that along. Careful cultivation of LGBT aligned Democrats is the secret to Davis’ success. Guess who the Dems put up against Davis? A lesbian. Ann Johnson will beat Sarah Davis this year too and Davis’ biggest dropoff will be in the liberal parts of 134.
Another possible path for a Republican is with African American Democrats. Kubush and Knox did that (running without a party label) in municipal elections. Im not sure that works with party labels. This involves cultivating non machine power brokers in that community. I suspect there will be significant reluctance to supporting someone running on the same line with Trump. George Floyd’s killing probably firmly closed that door and Huffman never really tried. Her supporters messaging runs counter to that as well.
The math doesnt work for Huffman. Where do propose to find 175,000 Biden/Huffman voters?
J Holmes says
Tom
Mary Nan Huffman is a married working mom who lives in the suburbs. Do you honestly believe suburban mom’s will shun Mary Nan at the polls simply because she is married to a man?
When Mary Nan wins it will be because Kim Ogg has done a notoriously lousy job in her first and final term as DA, and because a majority of voters want a reasonably functioning justice system that protects innocent people from predictable danger.
Harris County Democrats got 700,000 democrat voters to the polls in both 2016 and 2018. Darn near identical turnout for the D’s in both elections, and both elections had strong momentum for D top ticket races (“I’m with her” in 16′, & Robert Francis O’Beto in 18′).
Kim Ogg won in 2016 with 697k votes compared to Devon Anderson’s 589K (a 109k victory margin for Ogg). Trump got 45,000 fewer votes than Devon (@ 546K votes)
Let’s predict a total voter turnout of 1.73 million voters in Harris County for this 2020 election. Ogg needs 165,000+ new voters in her back pocket to pile onto 700,000 existing D block to win a simple majority of the votes. That assumes every 2016 Ogg voter is going to vote for her again.
Get the gatorade and haterade ready. This marathon is coming to its end. Talk again Wednesday.
Bill Daniels says
Tom,
Your post looks well reasoned, and it’s well written. The only part I question is, how is being a lesbian a plus with non alphabet people? I could believe you if you intimated that because of our accepting society, a lesbian vs. straight woman, all other being equal, is a push, but you’re now saying it’s a PLUS to be lesbian in the circle of moderate women? I guess I just don’t understand that part.
Tom in Lazybrook says
My point is this. In Harris County every breakaway from the Dems to the GOP takes one of two forms…1) Gay supportive moderates and moderate LGBT voters (the Sarah Davis model) or 2) African American anti Gays (Kubosh). Huffman clearly cant use door 2 due to her messaging so the only door open was Door 1. Oggs status as a member of that group makes it harder for any movement to gain traction because moderates in the LGBT community wont forward it (like they historically have with Davis). Basically the buzz cant gain traction.
No these voters arent voting on Gay rights per se, but rather they have influence circles where people do.
If Huffman wins, she will have to find some new, currently unused path.
Greg Degeyter says
Tom, one potential path she has – and I have no idea how many votes this will gather – is down ballot angry with crime vote. Here in Sharpstown despite the voting precincts being mildly Democratic the voters are frustrated with crime. Houston has six areas where they are increasing police patrols for crime increase. That’s six areas where an anti crime message will resonate with the otherwise Democratic voters. This type of sentiment would also seem to split votes near the medical center.
Will it be enough? Who knows, but it should a much closer race than the top of the ballot.
Bob Walsh says
Must be a lot of stupid bastards voting in Texas. No offense intended, but you get the government you tolerate.
DanMan says
Houston is a sanctuary city. Formalized by Sam Nucia on June 25, 1992 with General Order 500-5. That’s where the problem starts. Art Acevedo is maintaining Nucia’s orders to not participate in the enforcement of federal law and this is the continuing result.