Polls by Fox News and The Wall Street Journal which, unlike the rest of the mainstream media, have been friendly toward Trump, show Joe Biden with a comfortable lead over the president.
The two polls show the White Obama with a solid lead among African-Americans. They also show that the majority of women and Hispanics will vote for Biden.
However, a CNN poll shows Biden with only a one point lead over Trump in 15 crucial battleground states. That poll shows men and those between the age of 35 and 64 supporting Trump.
Of course polls have been known to be wrong. In 2016, the polls showed Hillary Clinton winning just a few days before the election. While Clinton did get three million more votes than Trump, she lost the electoral college vote. That’s because Clinton ran a piss-poor campaign, campaigning all over the country, including in states that were a cinch to vote for the Democrats. On the other hand, Trump ran a smart campaign, concentrating his campaign on the key battleground states. Biden is not likely to make the same mistake Clinton made.
Trump calls any poll “fake news” if it shows him behind and claims his own polls show him well ahead.
Trump is counting on his base, which includes far-right militias and white supremacists, to return him to office. But his base is estimated to be only 35 percent of the electorate and he needs more than his base to win.
Biden will get the vote of college students and recent college graduates because they have been indoctrinated by Marxist and other far-left professors into believing their salvation lies with the Democrat-Socialist party.
Trump can probably count on a majority of white men to vote for him but he badly needs the women’s vote. Right now it looks as though he has lost the support of the all important suburban housewives.
Trump has been his own worst enemy when it comes to women. He has a history of attacking women by mocking their bodily functions, demeaning their looks or comparing them to animals. His recent derogatory name-calling of Kamala Harris (mad woman), Nancy Pelosi (stone-cold crazy) and Mika Brzezinski (ditzy airhead) may sit well with his base but it’s not going to endear him to women.
Right now, except for the CNN poll, it looks as though the good ship Trump is about to run aground. What can save the doomed ship? Three events.
- An end to the COVID-19 pandemic and a pre-corona economy by October.
- Biden has a bad meltdown in two of the three scheduled debates. But that is unlikely to happen if the moderators are from the Trump-hating media. They will slow pitch softballs at Biden and throw hardballs at the president.
- A 9/11-like event. For instance, if in October Iran were to attack our aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf, a devastating response by Trump would be very popular with the vast majority of Americans.
Those of us that are unalterably opposed to the Biden-Harris ticket must pray for a Trump-favoring October surprise.