Will Kathie Glass Impact the Texas Governors Race?

Some of her supporters think that she will have the same kind of impact on the race that Debra Medina had in the Republican primary. And if that happens, Texas will have a new governor named White, because if she can pull anywhere close to the numbers that Medina did, the Democratic Party base will carry the day. Maybe, but it’s important to remember that Chris Bell only received 29.78{997ab4c1e65fa660c64e6dfea23d436a73c89d6254ad3ae72f887cf583448986} of the vote and most of those “in the know” use that as the base of the party. And if it is, well, Perry still wins even if Glass has a Medina like showing. Which history suggests she won’t. Here are the results for the Libertarian Party in the top two statewide races in Texas since 2000:

As you can see, the trend for the Libertarian Party is certainly going up but it would take a miracle for them to make a difference. In an ordinary year. This is anything but an ordinary year. And Rick Perry is anything but an ordinary candidate. Heck of a campaigner, yes, but his appeal is diminishing, as we saw in 2006, when he won with 39{997ab4c1e65fa660c64e6dfea23d436a73c89d6254ad3ae72f887cf583448986} of the vote. Certainly he has reached out to “tea partiers” but many of them, if not most, are aware of his Jekyll/Hyde personality and are not enamored with him, although certainly most will vote for him before they would Bill White. But what about the Hispanics? Typically, they don’t bother to turn out at all but if they do, will his reaching out to them with his anti-Arizona law rhetoric persuade them to vote for him? And if it does, how much will that same rhetoric send those concerned about border security looking for another candidate such as Mrs. Glass?

Let’s say that the current polls, which indicate anywhere between a 4 and 8 percent lead for Perry are actually closer to the lower number, 4{997ab4c1e65fa660c64e6dfea23d436a73c89d6254ad3ae72f887cf583448986}. If so, it is possible, just possible now, that Mrs. Glass could indeed have an impact. Like I said, at this point, I don’t think so but there are still 103 days until the election, so anything can happen. That’s why I’ve decided to head over to Fuddruckers in Nassau Bay tomorrow to meet her. She’ll be there at 7 pm with a few other Libertarian’s running. David Smith is going up against Ted Poe and is a good guy. Bruce West is going up against Kevin Brady and I’d vote for him if I lived in that district. Steve Susman, running against Pete Olson, is a strange bird, so I’ll stick with my vote going to Olson. I mean, how many Libertarians have you heard that want to go to Congress to eliminate red-light cameras? You know, what with their passion for the constitution and all.

I just don’t get the same sense of excitement or urgency from Kathie Glass or her volunteers that I had when I was around the Medina campaign. Perhaps that is because I haven’t met her but honestly, I don’t hear anyone talking about her at the other conservative events I attend. I’ll report back in on Friday about the event, perhaps I’ll get a better sense of where her campaign is and where it is going at that point. Just for grins, here are a couple of videos, one from 1982 and one current. Check out her remarks around the seven minute mark of this 1982 debate – prophetic, no?

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On this current one, she seems to be running against Republicans instead of running for something. Just my impression.

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Website: kathie4guv.com

Meetup Tomorrow: Kathie Glass Meet and Greet Nassau Bay